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June 28.2025
3 Minutes Read

Why Waiting for a Recession to Move Might Not Be Your Best Bet

Confident woman looking through a window amid modern decor.

Reassessing the Timing of Your Move in a Volatile Market

The fear of a potential recession is once again dominating headlines and influencing consumer behavior. A recent survey by John Burns Research & Consulting (JBREC) and Keeping Current Matters (KCM) revealed that 68% of individuals are postponing their plans to buy or sell their homes due to economic uncertainty. However, the reasons behind this hesitation may be more optimistic than you think. While some buyers are indeed cautious, many are waiting in anticipation of favorable market conditions that can arise during a recession.

Opportunities in Recession: Buyers' Perspective

Interestingly, 29.8% of homebuyers surveyed by Realtor.com believe that a recession would increase their chances of purchasing a home. This perspective highlights a crucial aspect of the housing market: during economic downturns, the Federal Reserve often responds by cutting interest rates to stimulate economic activity. As a result, mortgage rates tend to decrease, potentially making homeownership more accessible, especially for those with limited down payments. It's a cycle many have observed historically, and it makes waiting seem like a strategic move.

Challenging the Myth of Falling Home Prices

However, there's a common misconception affecting buyer strategies: the belief that home prices will automatically decline during a recession. Analyzing data from the last six recessions reveals a surprising trend—home prices went up in four of these economic downturns. This reality challenges the notion that recessions lead to steep drops in housing prices as seen in 2008. Instead, current conditions indicate a persistent inventory deficit that continues to support price stability.

The Current Market Landscape and Its Implications

So where does that leave hopeful buyers? Most markets are experiencing price stability or modest growth, despite a rise in available homes. As Robert Frick, Corporate Economist at Navy Federal Credit Union points out, the expectation that an economic slowdown will dramatically lower housing prices is largely wishful thinking. Drawing from historical patterns, it becomes clear that while mortgage rates may provide a brief reprieve, the likelihood of significant price drops is slim.

Strategizing Your Real Estate Decisions

For buyers and sellers considering making a move, it's critical to grasp the realities of today's economic climate. If you're waiting for a market upheaval that may not materialize, you could be stymying your own opportunities. Instead, reach out to a qualified real estate agent to discuss current market trends, available inventory, and interest rates. They can help you navigate the market more confidently and understand what steps you should be taking now.

Conclusion: Embracing Strategic Action

In times of uncertainty, a proactive approach often yields the best results. Instead of waiting on the sidelines for a potential downturn, leverage the resources and knowledge available to you. It's essential to understand that while the threat of a recession looms, the actual behaviors within the housing market may not align with traditional expectations. So, take that first step forward and connect with a trusted agent—you may find that the best time to act is now.

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09.27.2025

How Self-Employed Individuals Can Successfully Buy a House

Update Unlocking Homeownership: A Path for Self-Employed Buyers Buying a house can be a daunting task, especially if you're self-employed. However, overcoming the obstacles can not only lead to homeownership but also foster a deeper relationship between real estate agents and their unique clientele—the self-employed. As agents, understanding the intricacies involved in this buying process allows you to provide invaluable guidance to your clients. Understanding Self-Employment Income: A Key for Lenders When self-employed individuals approach banks for a mortgage, lenders often scrutinize their income more closely than that of W-2 employees. They want proof that income is steady and reliable. Essential documentation includes tax returns, business records, and bank statements—all pieces of the financial puzzle that provide assurance to lenders about the buyer's ability to make consistent payments. The Importance of Pre-Approval in the House Buying Process Early pre-approval is a crucial step for self-employed buyers, as it demonstrates seriousness and readiness to potential sellers. It allows lenders ample time to examine financial records and helps buyers understand their budget while reducing the chance of last-minute surprises during negotiations. Building a Strong Financial Profile To enhance their chances of securing a mortgage, self-employed buyers should focus on strengthening their financial profiles. Factors like a robust credit score, low debt-to-income ratio (DTI), and ample savings can make a significant difference. Real estate agents can help buyers interpret their financial status in a way that aligns with lender expectations, creating realistic strategies for home purchasing. Common Challenges and Solutions for Self-Employed Buyers Self-employed individuals often face unique challenges in obtaining mortgages. Fluctuating incomes can lead to doubts from lenders. Agents need to advise clients on how to present their income history compellingly—showcasing consistency and reliability in earnings. Providing examples of income from multiple sources can further strengthen a buyer's position. How to Prepare Clients for Lender Demands Real estate agents can play an essential role in preparing self-employed buyers for what lenders expect. Encouraging clients to keep organized financial documentation is vital. This includes not only tax returns but also profit-and-loss statements, which give lenders insight into the stability of the client’s business. Regular communication about these requirements can streamline the homebuying experience. Emotional and Human Connection: Building Trust with Clients Understanding the emotional aspect of buying a home is key in real estate. Self-employed buyers may feel a heightened sense of transparency about their financial situations and might worry about lender approval. As a supportive agent, fostering a connection and providing encouragement can significantly affect their experience. Sharing personal anecdotes about past self-employed clients who successfully bought homes can reassure and inspire your current clients. In Summary: Embrace the Self-Employed Homebuyer The real estate market is evolving, and self-employed individuals are increasingly becoming a significant demographic. Agents should embrace this opportunity by arming themselves with the knowledge and resources necessary to assist these buyers. By understanding the specific challenges they face and addressing their concerns with warmth and expertise, real estate professionals can stand out in a competitive landscape. Equipping yourself with these insights can transform your approach to working with self-employed home-buyers. This demographic not only deserves access to the American dream of homeownership but also offers a unique opportunity for agents to build lasting relationships and a thriving referral network. Help them navigate the landscape of mortgages with confidence!

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